Sunday, February 04, 2007

That would be Super...

And then there were two…

Last Week: 0-2
SAFE PICKS: 0-1

Playoffs: 8-2
SAFE PICKS: 2-1

Chicago (15-3) vs. Indianapolis (15-4)

I’ve heard way too many stories the past two weeks involving Tony Dungy and Lovie Smith’s skin color (as opposed to their coaching abilities), and the futility of the NFC as opposed to the AFC. I can guarantee that the Bears aren’t going to go down quietly. They have a very talented defense, their special teams play has been outstanding and Grossman, regardless of his inconsistency, has the ability to throw the deep ball and a speedy receiver (Bernard Berrian) who can catch it. That being said, the Colts have the weapons to counteract all of the Bears’ strengths. They have a talented and knowledgeable quarterback (Peyton Manning) that utilizes every eligible receiver on the field. They have an offensive line that protects said quarterback extremely well. And now, they have a one-two punch (of speed and power) running game that allows them to mix up their offensive game plan more than they were able to in previous years. The Colts’ run defense has been really solid during the playoffs, now that Bob Sanders is back in the lineup and plugging every running hole. Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson will get some yards but the Colts should be able to keep them reasonably contained. The Colts’ pass defense is pretty solid and they should be able to keep the Bears’ receivers in check…if they can establish a strong pass rush (behind Dwight Freeney). Grossman doesn’t handle the blitz well and I think that it is essential that the Colts put lots of pressure on him.
Bottom line: If the Colts can consistently get pressure on Grossman, the Bears can’t win this game…at least not without a lot of luck. If the Colts allow Grossman time to sit back in the pocket, he will have a lot more success throwing the ball down the field and the Bears will have a chance to win.

My Pick: Peyton shuts up his critics and wins his first Championship